Hope everyone is having a good night! An active Friday night and Saturday is shaping up for coverage area. The main focus continues to be a rather potent storm system that will be moving into the region, beginning Friday night and possibly lasting into early Sunday morning. Widespread heavy rainfall and very windy conditions are on the way for Friday night thru Saturday night. The 00z model runs have shifted the heaviest rains right over the Evansville Metro area and also have shifted west into southern Illinois and more of western Kentucky. Northern Kentucky (including the Louisville Metro area) are still expecting some heavy rainfall and south-central Kentucky. The heaviest has shifted just to the west of those areas for now. According to the latest data, rainfall amounts from 2 to 3 inches are possible , with some locally higher amounts possible. Be on the lookout for the potential for some localized flooding.
As of this writing, not expecting any strong or severe thunderstorms. Some generally heavy storms will only enhance the rainfall totals for some areas. Gusty winds will be a concern.
The NAM-WRF model is showing gust over 40 mph at times on Saturday afternoon and evening. Can't rule out some gust to 50 mph.
Looking ahead to the latter part of next week. The coldest air of the season so far moves into the region. This will likely end the growing season with a hard freeze, as low temperatures Thursday morning dip down into the middle and upper 20's across the coverage area.
There is currently no model agreement on the prospect for the system later next week. Some of the data has hinted at some snow about every other model runs. Lots of uncertainty. So it remains to be seen if we see any type of flurries or snow for Halloween. For now, it's just been eye candy and nothing more. It will be interesting to see how that eventually evolves.
Well, that's gonna do it for this late night blog. Stay tuned to the Facebook page for more updates on the heavy rain this weekend.
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