Good Saturday morning! The main focus continues to be on the Sunday-Monday time frame. A storm system moves into the lower Ohio Valley on Sunday. Models have trended north of our coverage area for any snow chances. If you followed my last blog, I did mention that would be the case. So how it's currently looking, snow lovers will be waiting longer for hopes of seeing any of the white stuff.
The 00z run of the GFS model shows precipitation beginning as a mix at the onset of things on Sunday afternoon, but quickly going over to all rain by Sunday evening.
The ECMWF (European model) is in agreement with the GFS. Mix precipitation possible at the onset of things. Best chances for a brief mix in our coverage area, look to be in the I-64 corridors of southern Illinois and southern Indiana, before going over to all rain by evening.
The 06z NAM model starts the precipitation as a brief mix and then goes over to all rain by Sunday evening and ending as some wet snow in southern Illinois and southern Indiana on Monday.
As for any severe storm chances, that threat is well south of our area. We are not expecting anything severe on Monday. Showers and maybe an isolated rumble of thunder or two.
In closing, minor ice and minor snow accumulations can't be ruled out, mainly north of I-64 before going over to all rain by late Sunday afternoon/evening. This will be mainly a rain event for most of us region. Areas north of I-64 may see some accumulating snow and ice. Stay tuned for updates!
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